BanksEquity
Tier-1 banks continue earnings-led re-rating
GTCO, ZENITHBANK and UBA added ₦42bn in market cap this week as the curve prices a Q3 cut.
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GTCO, ZENITHBANK and UBA added ₦42bn in market cap this week as the curve prices a Q3 cut.
10Y FGN yields fell 18bps w/w to 18.62%; real rates remain positive — constructive for credit.
Energy-cost pass-through improving; ~200bps EBITDA margin expansion into FY26 plausible.
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Tracked issuers · 1Y PD and spread snapshot
| Issuer | Type | Proshare Rating | 1Y PD | Spread (bps) | Outstanding | Watch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Government of Nigeria | Sovereign | Caa1.ng | 4.80% | 0 | ₦142.00T | Positive |
| Lagos State Government | Sub-sovereign | A1.ng | 0.90% | 180 | ₦1.10T | Stable |
| Guaranty Trust Holding Co. | Bank | Aa2.ng | 0.60% | 240 | ₦480.00B | Stable |
| Dangote Cement Plc | Corporate | Aa3.ng | 0.80% | 310 | ₦720.00B | Stable |
| MTN Nigeria | Corporate | A2.ng | 1.40% | 380 | ₦530.00B | Negative |
| Seplat Energy Plc | Corporate | A3.ng | 1.90% | 520 | ₦380.00B | Positive |