Credit profile
Federal Government of Nigeria
Proshare Rating
Caa1.ng
1Y PD
4.80%
LGD
35%
Spread
0 bps
Outstanding
₦142.00T
Watchlist
Positive
Thesis
Reform momentum (FX unification, subsidy removal, tax overhaul) is restoring policy credibility; near-term debt service burden remains the binding constraint.
Strengths
- • Reform credibility recovering
- • FX market unification
- • Rising external reserves
- • Robust diaspora flows
Risks
- • Debt service > 70% of revenue
- • Oil production variability
- • Security spending pressure
- • Election-cycle fiscal slippage
External ratings
- Moody'sCaa1Positive
- S&PB-Stable
- FitchB-Stable
Last reviewed 2026-05-22